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True Infection Risk %

Posted: Wed Oct 27, 2021 7:19 pm
by defiant
What is the true infection risk percentage?

Dr Ralph in the UK quoted me 1% rising to 2% for revision/replacements.

And for anyone that’s good with maths, does that mean that for someone who has 4 implants over a lifetime the risk of an infection equation would be 1% + 2% + 2% + 2% = 7% risk of infection at some point throughout one’s life (should they live a long life).

Or does it work differently?

Infection isn’t such a big deal across the board is it?

Re: True Infection Risk %

Posted: Wed Oct 27, 2021 7:44 pm
by MyFrankTalkAccount
Assuming those values are correct, the probability of risk of infection for someone who has four implants over a lifetime is 1-(1-0.01)(1-0.02)(1-0.02)(1-0.02)=0.068...

So roughly 7% chance of infection.

Also, I think it's likely that the infection rate of the surgery is lower in implantees that are younger than the average age of the implantees used in determining the infection rate statistic.

(In other words, I would guess that if you are undergoing your first implant at an age younger than the age of the average implantee the risk of infection for the first implant is actually less than 1%)

So the overall lifetime infection rate is likely lower than 7% for someone young who undergoes four implantations over their lifetime (assuming the above quoted numbers are correct and that some of the implants are installed at ages younger than the average age used in determining the infection rate statistic)

For younger guys thinking about an implant (such as myself) I think it's important to keep in mind when looking at any implant related statistic (E.g. Satisfaction rate, infection rate, failure rate/lifetime of implant) that the age distribution of implantees skews older.

If you are younger, I suspect that the statistics appearing in studies overestimate satisfaction rate, overestimate infection rate, and overestimate lifetime of implant/durability.